27 Dec

Written By: Pauls Pickz
Twitter: Pauls_Pickz
December 27th, 2021 

Only one D1 v D1 game today. The Orange, at 5-5, host the Bears (8-5) Monday night. These are two teams who are both coming off long COVID layovers and both are coming off a loss. We like Brown here, and I will explain why…

When you look at Syracuse, inconsistency seems to be their only consistency. Wins vs Indiana and Florida State are nice. But losses to Colgate at home and to a below average Georgetown team, make you wonder how good they really are.. They are fairly evenly balanced in scoring, with 5 averaging at least 10 ppg, but the oldest Boehiem leads them with 17.6 ppg.

Brown is no powerhouse by any means, but they do have THREE true road wins, and road losses by 2, and 7 to Colorado and UNC, respectively. Those are impressive losses. The majority of their offense comes from two players- Kino Lilly Jr (12.2 ppg), and Paxson Wojcik (10.8 ppg).

I believe 10 points is too many for Brown here. I think Lilly keeps Brown in this game. He’s shooting 40% from 3, and over HALF of his attempts are from 3 (80 out of 115).  You can bet that he’s going to get up 10+ threes against a very “average” Syracuse zone (as noted by Synergy video software). Lastly, let’s look ATS. Brown is 8-3 ATS, AND 4-0 ATS as away team. Syracuse hasn’t faired as well, as they are just 4-6 ATS, and 4-5-1 ATS as a favorite!

Anything can happen with a long layover, but I’m hoping there will be less fans due to Christmas break, and Syracuse will come out sluggish. Brown is not scared on the road. A combination of threes and taking care of the ball keeps them close.

Free Pick:
Brown +10
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Former CBB athlete, Former D1 CBB Assistant, turned into a professional handicapper over last 4 years.  Career average is ~67%, focusing 80% on College Basketball, 15% NBA, and 5% on other.  PaulsPickz was created by a group of 3 friends who wanted to share their proven methods with others.  Using our expertise in statistical analysis combined with our background in video breakdown in college basketball, we have created a method for our picks that has produced very encouraging results. We combine our proprietary algorithm with our analysis procedure to look into every single CBB game.  We bring the best value on the market because we have a proven system, we care about our customers, and our overall team's experience allow us to give you a consistent winning edge. Click here to view my documented results and access plans.  

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